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Antti Kananen

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Next Billion-Dollar Merge Games: Innovation Meets Depth

The Next Billion-Dollar Merge Games: Innovation Meets Depth 🚀🧩 Merge games have proven their staying power with Travel Town and Gossip Harbor blending grid management with narrative-driven building layers. In terms of the future, the next hits could emerge by leveraging key vectors in #gamesdesign and #systemsdesign that are theme-independent, appealing to female, male, and mixed audiences:🏗️📊 Simulation and Tycoon MechanicsImagine SimCity, Railroad Tycoon, or RollerCoaster Tycoon fused with #mergegames #gameplay. Adding tycoon-like depth could revolutionize Merge, offering strategic, long-term #engagement.--> Travel Town’s city-building layer could expand into dynamic economies, where merging fuels resource generation and upgrades.--> Ability to draw in players seeking meaningful, management-driven progression, boosting #retention and #LTV; and/or teaching this to existing players. 👪🕹️ Life Sims #Games like BitLife, Business Empire: RichMan, and Pick Me Up - Idle inspire the potential synergy between life sims and merge, […]

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Hexa Sort Segment: Growth, Challenges, and Lessons

Hexa Sort Segment: Growth, Challenges, and Lessons from the Top 🚀 The HexaSort segment, led by Hexa Sort by Lion Studios, remains as a promising casual puzzle genre. While other segments like Nuts & Bolts show clear signs of churn, AppMagic data suggests this one has room.Hexa Sort: The Leader:Hexa Sort stands as the king of the hill, leading in IAP revenue and likely Ads revenue. Its success lies in its balanced, well-planned UX, tying engagement directly to monetization:🎮🧪 Dopamine-driven gameplay encourages positive reviews, rewarded video views, and currency use, blending monetization with user satisfaction.💰 ⚙️ This game design drives strong monetization while maintaining engagement in controlled manner, setting it apart in the genre against copycats.The Copycat Dilemma:Unlike the declining Nuts & Bolts segment, where excessive copycats have churned retention and revenue across the whole segment, affecting also the best […]

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Why Rovio Could be Poison to SEGA

Why Rovio Entertainment Could be Poison to SEGA—and How They Can Fix It. Rovio’s golden days with Angry Birds are gone. A look at AppMagic reveals the story: churning downloads, revenue, and MAUs. Latest bets on high-risk, high-cost titles—e.g., Angry Birds Journey and Bloom City Match—are poorly positioned to catch emerging trends or gain traction in competitive genres like puzzles.The Problem: Stuck in the Past.Rovio is slow to adapt to fast-paced mobile games market. They aren’t leaning on commercial or scientific processes to evaluate opportunities in new, high-potential genres. Instead, they continue to 2x on categories where e.g., King, Playrix, and Dream Games dominate.Take Bloom City Match. It’s dropped into the most competitive puzzle games segment, crowded with competition. It’s a high-risk bet in a category with high CPIs, churned-out cohorts, and a shrinking ROAS profile. And while Angry Birds […]

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Making a Nuts & Bolts Game? Think again!

Thinking about making a Nuts & Bolts game? Think again! 🧩🎮 The market may look appealing, but you should really rethink! Quick analysis from AppMagic paints a clear picture; the genre has seen its peak, and is now on a downward trajectory:From Q4/23 to Jul-Aug/24, the market saw fast growth, peaking in downloads and revenue. Now the story is different:➕ Downloads: A steep decline, driven by a churning retention profile, rising CPIs due to saturation, and a weakening ROAS profile.📉 Retention: Significant drops as competitive pressure and squeezed monetization strategies leave players disengaged.📊 DAUs: Daily Active Users have seen a dip, as retention and monetization strategies falter.💰 Revenue: Revenue has slowed across the segment as all compounds.Issues with Current Strategies:Games like Wood Screw Puzzle have ridden the wave but are now paying the price for short-term strategies. Aggressive Ad Monetization […]

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Sharable Moments of Joy: New Formula to Viral Game Design?

Creating "(Shareable) Moments of Joy": The New Formula to Viral and Socially Engaging Game Design? 🎮✨ In future's gaming landscape, simply delivering a high-quality game isn't always enough. With players craving more shareable, social experiences, developers need to consider how to foster “moments of joy”—gameplay that not only excites players but also encourages them to share, stream, and engage in a more community-driven way.Here’s where emergent gameplay and social mechanics come into play:📸 Encourage Shareable Moments:Players love to showcase unique, fun, or funny moments, especially in games that emphasize co-op or PvP elements. Designing gameplay that lends itself to unexpected, high-stakes, or humorous scenarios can help spark these moments. Imagine scenarios where players can collaborate or compete in ways that lead to share-worthy outcomes, encouraging organic social sharing.🤝 Create Cooperative and Social Experiences:Rather than pushing individual achievements, fostering co-op gameplay […]

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Boom Beach by Supercell has seen long-term engagement decline

When looked over the long haul, Boom Beach by Supercell has seen long-term engagement decline (despite bringing great amount of revenue and success) over its lifecycle; a common trend for many mobile games as their player bases gradually lose interest after peak growth. Quickly looking, AppMagic analytics show that while e.g., their Warships update successfully reinvigorated engagement, giving players a competitive mode and new objectives, this effect was not overall solution for them as overall the long-term engagement is back on slowing down. Since then, DAU and MAU numbers have waned over long period of time, underscoring a need for further refreshing gameplay to keep the core player base engaged and finding meaningful ways how to introduce the game for new audiences.Obviously, it is not an easy job to refresh something like this for growth back again -- but Supercell […]

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Scopely’s Stumble Guys Faces Downhill Slide in Engagement

📉 Scopely’s Stumble Guys Faces Downhill Slide in Engagement—What’s Next? 📈 According to my analysis with AppMagic, Stumble Guys, a hit from Scopely, is seeing decline in downloads and engagement as it progresses through its lifecycle. This trend, while common among games after their peaks, highlights a critical point: without re-freshening of gameplay and strategic updates, it's challenging to maintain DAU and MAU once the spikes are gone. Squeezed up monetization and economy can bring up cash on the table while engagement is going down, but that squeeze, without doing anything else, can end up churning users more.Scopely has taken some steps to address this by launching Stumble Guys across multiple platforms. And while this approach helped bring new waves of players, quick insights from SteamDB reveal a similar downhill trend post-launch, signaling that while multi-platform reach is valuable, it […]

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The Future of Web Games: Beyond What We Know Today

The Future of Web Games: Beyond What We Know Today 🚀 For the past 10–20 years, web gaming has not evolved and it's been on repeat, with little innovation beyond what we saw a decade or more ago‼️ The future of web gaming doesn’t just lie in improving what already exists and it isn't on instant games, current portals, etc.—it’s in reinventing how we think about gameplay, social experiences, and cross-platform potential. 💡The next unicorn and even decacorn companies in gaming will come from those who think beyond current models and explore new territories, such as:👌 User Experience Innovation: Creating fluid, immersive experiences that feel fresh and intuitive. 🤝 Social Gameplay 2.0: Combining the best of social media and gaming mechanics to build deeper, meaningful connections and in-game interactions.🕹 New Forms of Play: Expanding our ideas of “play” and “habit” […]

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Overcoming Stagnation: Moving Beyond ROAS & Funnel-Driven Strategies

📉 Overcoming Stagnation in Mobile Games: Moving Beyond ROAS & Funnel-Driven Strategies 📉 Many live-operated mobile games are struggling as post-IDFA realities set in. With dwindling engagement and rising churn, games that once thrived on high ROAS and funnel-driven tactics are stalling. To reignite growth, it’s time to shift from squeezing monetization to building genuine engagement. 🧠 1. Focus on Psychology & Physiology for Long-Term GrowthToday’s players, especially Gen Z and Gen Alpha, value authentic gameplay that prioritizes connection over competition. On top of them, older generations might have just consumed already, or not resonated with, some of your content -- therefore, it's time to re-think your strategies.-> Use PNS-Led Design: Move away from “fight or flight” triggers, which lead to fatigue. For example, invest in a gameplay that fosters social bonds, creating moments and spaces where players can connect.-> […]

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Next-Gen Social Mechanics: Next Big Opportunity in F2P

🌐 Next-Gen Social Mechanics in Gaming: The Next Big Opportunity in F2P 🌐 As the gaming landscape continues to evolve, the next billion-dollar opportunity lies in pushing beyond today’s social mechanics and connectivity features. In a world craving genuine connection, games that foster deep social engagement both inside and outside the game environment are set to thrive.Imagine games where players can connect beyond traditional friend lists and chat functions. Instead, they could experience a “Tinder-like” player-matching system, building teams or alliances based on compatibility, interests, or in-game objectives. Picture boosters that activate based on proximity, or resource trading convoys that reward cooperation and strategic trading based on location. These features wouldn’t just offer new play methods—they’d create lasting relationships beyond the screen. And I'm not talking only about location-based games here.🔍 Why This Approach Works in Today’s World?In a society […]

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Next Multi-Billion Dollar Opportunity: PNS-Led F2P Games

🚀 The Next Multi-Billion Dollar Opportunity in Gaming: PNS-Led F2P Games 🚀 The #F2P #gamingindustry has become commercialized, but many commercially driven #games may not stand the test of the time. The future opportunity lies in the physiological aspects of #gaming through Parasympathetic Nervous System (PNS)-led #gamedesign. Unlike traditional SNS-led games that stimulate e.g., the “fight or flight” response, PNS-led games focus on e.g., social connection, and meaningful #engagement, creating spaces where players can enjoy the experience without the intensity of SNS-led #design.🚀 Why This Matters for KPIs: Lower CPI, Higher LTV, and Stronger K-Factor.PNS-led games address core needs, not just symptoms. By creating experiences rooted in e.g., genuine connection, they attract and retain players in ways that drive #KPIs and scalable #UA:1. Reduce #CPI by appealing to a broader audience looking for #socialengagement, resulting in better efficiency.2. Increase #LTV […]

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F2P Re-Engagement & Retargeting Strategies

🚀 *Big Opportunities in F2P Re-Engagement & Retargeting Strategies!* 🚀 In free-to-play games, the untapped potential for re-engagement lies in understanding the game’s economy and the player equity built over time. Many UA, Marketing, and Product Marketing teams are missing the mark by not leveraging this.When players invest time and effort, they’re building a “virtual equity”—assets like characters, resources, and in-game achievements. This emotional and financial value can be a game-changer in driving effective re-engagement and re-targeting strategies.**Here’s one example:** Imagine a campaign that highlights the specific assets players have accumulated and unlocks potential next steps in their journey. For instance, if a player has spent hours leveling up a character, a re-engagement message could remind them of how close they are to a new milestone or offer a special challenge to leverage that character’s strength. It’s a reminder of […]

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